According some analysts and researchers, it is very possible that Microsoft’s efforts to crack down piracy will backfire and drive customers toward other operating systems and solutions.
IDC have released their top 10 predictions for “Worldwide System Infrastructure Software, 2007”, and it doesn’t look good for Microsoft. The following prediction is of interest here:
9. Microsoft’s client operating system anti-piracy efforts will backfire. Microsoft’s anti-piracy campaign will drive customers toward Linux.
Also it is interesting to read article “A Cost Analysis of Windows Vista Content Protection” written by Peter Gutmann from Department of Computer Science, University of Auckland. In summary he says:
Windows Vista includes an extensive reworking of core OS elements in order to provide content protection for so-called “premium content”, typically HD data from Blu-Ray and HD-DVD sources. Providing this protection incurs considerable costs in terms of system performance, system stability, technical support overhead, and hardware and software cost. These issues affect not only users of Vista but the entire PC industry, since the effects of the protection measures extend to cover all hardware and software that will ever come into contact with Vista, even if it’s not used directly with Vista (for example hardware in a Macintosh computer or on a Linux server). This document analyses the cost involved in Vista’s content protection, and the collateral damage that this incurs throughout the computer industry.
Executive Executive Summary
The Vista Content Protection specification could very well constitute the longest suicide note in history.
Let’s watch what will happen.